Fri Oct 9 · 2026-27
SEA6FINAL
3DET
SEA 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% DET
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
SEADET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 4.04 | 3.78 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.78 | 3.45 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 82 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 40 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Meyers | 13.6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.51 | +0.13 |
| Berkly Catton | 14.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.87 | +0.50 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.18 |
| Brandon Montour | 26.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | -0.23 |
| Ryan Winterton | 13.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 16.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | -0.33 |
| Vince Dunn | 21.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.00 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.99 |
| Josh Mahura | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.57 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.48 |
| Jared McCann | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
| Matty Beniers | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | -0.33 |
| Shane Wright | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | +0.16 |
| Bobby McMann | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | -0.30 |
| Jordan Eberle | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.29 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| Adam Larsson | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.71 |
| Ryker Evans | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 14.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.84 | +0.40 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.23 |
| Lucas Raymond | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.26 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 16.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.47 |
| Moritz Seider | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +1.53 |
| William Wallinder | 18.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | -0.46 |
| Sheldon Dries | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.48 | +0.07 |
| Carter Mazur | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.22 |
| Anton Johansson | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| Andrew Copp | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.42 |
| Dylan Larkin | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.76 |
| Albert Johansson | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +1.10 |
| Nate Danielson | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| Justin Faulk | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.45 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.39 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.10 |
| Ben Chiarot | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 58 | 3 | 3.78 | +0.78 |
| John Gibson | DET | 23 | 5 | 2.41 | -2.59 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 17 | 1 | 1.64 | +0.64 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.