ON-ICE IQ · COL 7 @ CGY 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Oct 8 · 2026-27

COL7

FINAL

3CGY

COL 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% CGY

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — COL had a 50% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

COLCGY cumulative xG · dots = goals

	COL	CGY
Goals	7	3
xG (all)	2.97	2.74
xG (5v5)	2.63	2.35
Shot attempts	62	61
Shots on goal	30	29

COL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Nathan MacKinnon	18.7	1	2	2	0.27	-0.63
Cale Makar	22.3	2	1	2	0.11	-0.41
Jaden Schwartz	13.8	2	0	2	0.24	+0.31
Devon Toews	18.9	2	0	3	0.16	+0.21
Brett Kulak	18.7	0	2	0	0.02	-0.42
T.J. Hughes	16.4	0	1	6	0.41	+0.41
Zachary L'Heureux	10.9	0	1	2	0.33	+0.45
Parker Kelly	11.6	0	1	2	0.22	+0.11
Nazem Kadri	17.2	0	1	2	0.13	-0.63
Brock Nelson	15.6	0	1	1	0.07	-0.03
Brent Burns	20.0	0	1	2	0.05	+0.57
Noah Juulsen	16.6	0	1	0	0.00	+0.12
Fedor Svechkov	11.9	0	1	0	0.00	+0.33
Martin Necas	17.3	0	0	2	0.26	+0.45
Nicolas Roy	14.1	0	0	0	0.26	+0.62
Josh Manson	20.4	0	0	2	0.19	+0.56
Gabriel Landeskog	14.2	0	0	1	0.17	+0.01
Artturi Lehkonen	17.4	0	0	1	0.10	-0.59

CGY skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mikael Backlund	17.7	1	0	8	0.99	+0.80
Adam Klapka	10.7	1	0	1	0.25	-0.14
Yegor Sharangovich	14.8	0	1	4	0.23	+0.85
Joel Farabee	17.1	0	1	2	0.18	+0.41
Kevin Bahl	22.0	1	0	1	0.15	+0.86
Ryan Strome	14.7	0	1	0	0.00	-0.18
Jonathan Castagna	9.2	0	1	0	0.00	-0.25
Simon Nemec	20.2	0	0	1	0.24	-0.23
Zayne Parekh	21.1	0	0	1	0.20	-0.82
Morgan Frost	17.4	0	0	1	0.19	-0.17
Matvei Gridin	14.8	0	0	2	0.11	-0.09
Yan Kuznetsov	18.9	0	0	2	0.04	-0.40
Martin Pospisil	14.8	0	0	2	0.04	-0.67
Zach Whitecloud	18.2	0	0	1	0.04	+0.63
Aydar Suniev	11.8	0	0	1	0.02	-0.25
Jake Middleton	18.6	0	0	1	0.02	-0.74
Samuel Honzek	15.9	0	0	1	0.02	-0.73
Matt Coronato	16.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.33

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Scott Wedgewood	COL	46	3	2.74	-0.26
Devin Cooley	CGY	46	7	2.97	-4.03

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.