Thu Oct 8 · 2026-27
VAN2FINAL
7CAR
VAN 25%DESERVE TO WIN75% CAR
DESERVED
CAR earned it — a 75% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANCAR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 2.06 | 5.21 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.13 | 3.77 |
| Shot attempts | 41 | 54 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 34 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 18.7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.79 | -0.17 |
| Elias Pettersson | 20.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.08 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.09 |
| Zeev Buium | 23.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.09 |
| Liam Ohgren | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -1.23 |
| Marco Rossi | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.46 |
| Linus Karlsson | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -1.25 |
| Elias Pettersson | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.58 |
| Brock Boeser | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.47 |
| Filip Hronek | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.59 |
| Paul Cotter | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.42 |
| Victor Mancini | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.75 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.13 |
| Aatu Räty | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.82 |
| Tom Willander | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.14 |
| Max Sasson | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.27 |
| Drew O'Connor | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.82 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.82 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 21.4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.62 |
| Logan Stankoven | 15.1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.84 | +1.07 |
| Jackson Blake | 15.5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.69 | +1.08 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 15.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.61 | +1.16 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.41 | +1.63 |
| Taylor Hall | 13.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | +1.36 |
| Sebastian Aho | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | +1.35 |
| Mark Jankowski | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.54 |
| William Carrier | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.60 |
| K'Andre Miller | 20.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.75 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.52 |
| Eric Robinson | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.63 | +0.90 |
| Jordan Martinook | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.00 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.27 |
| Mike Reilly | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +1.23 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.57 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.46 |
| Jordan Staal | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 28 | 6 | 3.31 | -2.69 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | 29 | 2 | 2.06 | +0.06 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 18 | 1 | 1.90 | +0.90 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.