Thu Oct 8 · 2026-27
PHI1FINAL
2OTT
PHI 57%DESERVE TO WIN43% OTT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — OTT had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
PHIOTT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PHI | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.85 | 1.39 |
| Shot attempts | 64 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 26 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 15.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.71 | -0.01 |
| Travis Konecny | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.55 |
| Trevor Zegras | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.37 |
| Sean Couturier | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.32 |
| Owen Tippett | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.50 | +0.48 |
| Noah Cates | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.19 |
| Travis Sanheim | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.49 |
| Tyson Foerster | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.11 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | +0.90 |
| Cam York | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.62 |
| Michael Bunting | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| David Jiricek | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.02 |
| Nick Seeler | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
| Christian Dvorak | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.14 |
| Simon Benoit | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Noel Acciari | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Porter Martone | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Denver Barkey | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Pinto | 22.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.51 | -0.41 |
| Warren Foegele | 11.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.10 |
| Claude Giroux | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.63 |
| Nick Cousins | 11.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.23 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Tyler Kleven | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.24 |
| Michael Amadio | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.11 |
| Thomas Chabot | 29.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | +0.04 |
| Stephen Halliday | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.09 |
| Ridly Greig | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | -0.60 |
| Drake Batherson | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.18 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.09 |
| Jordan Spence | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Tim Stützle | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Hoyt Stanley | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| William Eklund | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 41 | 1 | 3.42 | +2.42 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | 36 | 2 | 2.39 | +0.39 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.