Thu Oct 8 · 2026-27
UTA1FINAL
6BOS
UTA 66%DESERVE TO WIN34% BOS
STOLE IT
BOS stole it — only a 34% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
UTABOS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| UTA | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 4.86 | 2.49 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.43 | 2.08 |
| Shot attempts | 80 | 35 |
| Shots on goal | 37 | 22 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McBain | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.72 | +1.06 |
| Barrett Hayton | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.41 | +1.00 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.44 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.84 | +0.48 |
| Daniil But | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.68 | +0.41 |
| Michael Carcone | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.47 | +0.18 |
| Clayton Keller | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.27 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.27 |
| Anders Lee | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | -0.13 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.02 |
| Dylan Guenther | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.05 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +1.24 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +1.14 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.63 |
| Andrew Peeke | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.28 |
| John Marino | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| Nate Schmidt | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.18 |
| Logan Cooley | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 16.4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| Morgan Geekie | 12.8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.44 |
| Matthew Poitras | 9.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.38 |
| Mark Kastelic | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.26 |
| Frederic Brunet | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.27 |
| Elias Lindholm | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.03 |
| Pavel Zacha | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.72 |
| Mason Lohrei | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.67 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 11.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.00 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.57 |
| James Hagens | 11.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Fraser Minten | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | -0.46 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.46 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.11 |
| Will Borgen | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.86 |
| Connor Clifton | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| JJ Peterka | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 20 | 3 | 1.70 | -1.30 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 56 | 1 | 4.86 | +3.86 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | 9 | 3 | 0.79 | -2.21 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.