Wed Oct 7 · 2026-27
EDM5FINAL
2ANA
EDM 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% ANA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
EDMANA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.78 | 3.49 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.63 | 1.82 |
| Shot attempts | 43 | 74 |
| Shots on goal | 19 | 31 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 19.3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.81 |
| Connor McDavid | 24.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.82 |
| Evan Bouchard | 23.1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.12 | +0.72 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 18.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.72 | +0.81 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 16.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | -0.17 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.77 |
| Ryan Shea | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.17 |
| Alex Formenton | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -0.85 |
| Ty Emberson | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.69 |
| Jake Walman | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.69 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.52 |
| Jason Dickinson | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Connor Murphy | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Trent Frederic | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Isaac Howard | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.52 |
| Josh Samanski | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.54 |
| Max Jones | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 25.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.89 | +0.07 |
| Leo Carlsson | 23.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.23 | +0.01 |
| Mikael Granlund | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.28 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 29.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.97 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.58 | -0.45 |
| Alex Killorn | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.64 |
| Travis Mitchell | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.07 |
| A.J. Greer | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.12 |
| Jeff Malott | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| Tim Washe | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.35 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.15 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.64 |
| Tristan Luneau | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Tyson Hinds | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.48 |
| Judd Caulfield | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.12 |
| Ryan Poehling | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.18 |
| Noah Warren | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
| Nikita Klepov | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | ANA | 5 | 0 | 0.53 | +0.53 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 29 | 5 | 2.24 | -2.76 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | 53 | 2 | 3.49 | +1.49 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.