ON-ICE IQ · COL 2 @ WPG 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Wed Oct 7 · 2026-27

COL2

FINAL

3WPG

COL 58%DESERVE TO WIN42% WPG

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — WPG had a 42% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

COLWPG cumulative xG · dots = goals

	COL	WPG
Goals	2	3
xG (all)	3.34	2.15
xG (5v5)	2.82	2.05
Shot attempts	68	50
Shots on goal	34	19

COL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Fedor Svechkov	12.7	1	1	2	0.32	+0.47
Jaden Schwartz	13.6	1	1	2	0.25	+0.08
Brent Burns	17.5	0	1	2	0.09	-0.18
Brett Kulak	17.4	0	1	2	0.08	+0.15
Martin Necas	20.6	0	0	3	0.50	+0.36
Nathan MacKinnon	20.2	0	0	1	0.39	+0.62
Gabriel Landeskog	15.3	0	0	3	0.34	-0.42
Nicolas Roy	12.2	0	0	3	0.30	+0.55
Nazem Kadri	18.1	0	0	4	0.23	+0.20
Zachary L'Heureux	8.4	0	0	3	0.21	+0.29
Devon Toews	21.5	0	0	2	0.19	+0.79
Cale Makar	25.3	0	0	4	0.12	+0.50
Sam Malinski	18.4	0	0	1	0.07	+0.23
Artturi Lehkonen	17.4	0	0	0	0.07	-0.04
T.J. Hughes	12.0	0	0	1	0.07	+0.30
Parker Kelly	12.8	0	0	1	0.06	+0.56
Brock Nelson	16.8	0	0	0	0.05	-0.68
Josh Manson	16.9	0	0	0	0.00	+0.04

WPG skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kyle Connor	19.9	2	0	4	0.43	+0.45
Mark Scheifele	22.3	0	2	1	0.38	+0.31
Dylan Samberg	25.4	0	2	2	0.01	-0.55
Cole Perfetti	18.7	1	0	2	0.44	+0.45
Neal Pionk	23.2	0	1	1	0.05	-0.30
Gabriel Vilardi	14.7	0	0	2	0.14	-0.01
Isak Rosen	10.2	0	0	1	0.13	-0.09
Alex Iafallo	15.4	0	0	2	0.13	-0.32
Morgan Barron	17.4	0	0	0	0.11	-0.33
Viggo Björck	13.3	0	0	1	0.07	-0.10
Adam Lowry	14.8	0	0	2	0.07	-0.43
Cole Koepke	13.1	0	0	0	0.06	-0.79
Brad Lambert	9.2	0	0	0	0.04	-0.68
Jack St. Ivany	14.3	0	0	0	0.04	-0.30
Josh Morrissey	9.5	0	0	1	0.03	-0.19
Mario Ferraro	23.6	0	0	0	0.01	+0.08
Dylan DeMelo	20.6	0	0	0	0.01	-0.25
Vladislav Namestnikov	12.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.77

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Mackenzie Blackwood	COL	36	3	2.15	-0.85
Stuart Skinner	WPG	56	2	3.34	+1.34

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.