Wed Oct 7 · 2026-27
PIT3FINAL
5WSH
PIT 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 55% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
PITWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PIT | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.70 | 4.11 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.25 | 2.53 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 27 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak | 15.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.98 | +0.63 |
| Bryan Rust | 19.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.29 |
| Ben Kindel | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.20 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.39 |
| Blake Lizotte | 10.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.11 |
| Nick Robertson | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.26 |
| Samuel Girard | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.20 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | +0.71 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | -0.70 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | -0.91 |
| Kris Letang | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.33 |
| Sidney Crosby | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -1.03 |
| Ville Koivunen | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.17 |
| Erik Karlsson | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | -0.38 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Declan Carlile | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| Connor Dewar | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 19.8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.70 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 17.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.66 | +1.16 |
| Alex Tuch | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.81 | +0.58 |
| Ryan Leonard | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | +0.49 |
| Dylan Strome | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | +0.23 |
| Cole Hutson | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.28 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 10.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.00 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.90 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.07 |
| Boone Jenner | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.10 |
| Justin Sourdif | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.01 |
| Ilya Protas | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.90 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.83 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.64 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.24 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.26 |
| Dylan McIlrath | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| Vincent Desharnais | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 42 | 3 | 3.70 | +0.70 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 45 | 5 | 4.11 | -0.89 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.