Tue Oct 6 · 2026-27
FLA2FINAL
1LAK
FLA 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% LAK
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — FLA had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
FLALAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| FLA | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.70 | 2.09 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.19 | 0.76 |
| Shot attempts | 65 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 20 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 21.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.20 |
| Sam Bennett | 19.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.21 |
| Seth Jones | 25.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.00 |
| Lars Eller | 12.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.17 |
| Sam Reinhart | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.61 | +0.18 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | -0.01 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.24 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.30 |
| Brad Marchand | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.21 |
| Anton Lundell | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.22 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.05 |
| Bokondji Imama | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.13 |
| Uvis Balinskis | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.01 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.33 |
| Niko Mikkola | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.18 |
| Gustav Forsling | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.40 |
| Radko Gudas | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Haula | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.43 | +0.25 |
| Alex Laferriere | 17.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | -0.04 |
| Adrian Kempe | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.29 |
| Artemi Panarin | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | -0.11 |
| Joel Armia | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | +0.08 |
| Trevor Moore | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.02 |
| Joel Edmundson | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.12 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.16 |
| Scott Laughton | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.06 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.18 |
| Brandt Clarke | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.31 |
| Quinton Byfield | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Drew Doughty | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Cody Ceci | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Mikey Anderson | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Corey Perry | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Alex Turcotte | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | 32 | 1 | 2.09 | +1.09 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 46 | 2 | 2.70 | +0.70 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.