Tue Oct 6 · 2026-27
VGK6FINAL
2SEA
VGK 62%DESERVE TO WIN38% SEA
DESERVED
VGK earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VGKSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VGK | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 4.11 | 2.36 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.28 | 1.56 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 48 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 27 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 16.1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.69 | +0.50 |
| Jack Eichel | 18.3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.38 | +0.67 |
| Mark Stone | 15.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.68 | +0.74 |
| Victor Olofsson | 10.8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.57 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 15.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.74 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Trevor Connelly | 11.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.42 |
| Brett Howden | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | -0.34 |
| Shea Theodore | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | +0.94 |
| William Karlsson | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | -0.41 |
| Mitch Marner | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.33 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | -0.10 |
| Nic Dowd | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| Parker Wotherspoon | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| Brayden McNabb | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.85 |
| Braeden Bowman | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.23 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Noah Hanifin | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaapo Kakko | 14.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.52 |
| Jared McCann | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.64 | -0.01 |
| Shane Wright | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.43 |
| Cale Fleury | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.22 |
| Jordan Eberle | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
| Bobby McMann | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.70 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.08 |
| Berkly Catton | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | +0.30 |
| Ryan Winterton | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.46 |
| Adam Larsson | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.35 |
| Vince Dunn | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.51 |
| Brandon Montour | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.25 |
| Matty Beniers | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.10 |
| Ryker Evans | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.66 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Ben Meyers | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Ryan Lindgren | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 11 | 1 | 1.65 | +0.65 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 33 | 5 | 2.47 | -2.53 |
| Carter Hart | VGK | 35 | 2 | 2.36 | +0.36 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.