Tue Oct 6 · 2026-27
STL2FINAL
4CHI
STL 60%DESERVE TO WIN40% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CHI had a 40% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
STLCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| STL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 3.12 | 1.80 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.08 | 1.04 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 41 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 21 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McMichael | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.79 | +0.44 |
| Mason McTavish | 17.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.09 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.22 |
| Philip Broberg | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.29 |
| Ross Johnston | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.31 |
| Adam Jiricek | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.34 |
| Robert Thomas | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.13 |
| Dylan Holloway | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.13 |
| Colton Parayko | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.30 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | +0.02 |
| Pius Suter | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.38 |
| Cam Fowler | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.49 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.56 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.15 |
| Brandon Carlo | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.65 |
| Theo Lindstein | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.00 |
| Jake Neighbours | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.41 |
| Dillon Dube | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Nazar | 19.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.52 | -0.32 |
| Anton Frondell | 18.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.35 |
| Sam Rinzel | 17.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | -0.65 |
| Cole Smith | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.53 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.11 |
| Nick Lardis | 9.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.25 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 9.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.17 |
| Ryan Donato | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | -0.08 |
| Ryan Greene | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.13 |
| Patrick Kane | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.44 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.55 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.41 |
| Bowen Byram | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Roman Kantserov | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.52 |
| Ian Cole | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.16 |
| Jordan Greenway | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| Oliver Moore | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | STL | 31 | 2 | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 46 | 2 | 3.12 | +1.12 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.