Tue Oct 6 · 2026-27
OTT3FINAL
5DET
OTT 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% DET
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DET had a 59% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
OTTDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 2.64 | 3.51 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.22 | 2.26 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 63 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 36 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Eklund | 20.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.13 |
| Drake Batherson | 17.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.16 |
| Tim Stützle | 21.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.49 |
| Ridly Greig | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.11 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.20 |
| Dylan Cozens | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | -0.30 |
| Stephen Halliday | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.35 |
| Jordan Spence | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -1.09 |
| Thomas Chabot | 26.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | -0.41 |
| Shane Pinto | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.19 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.12 |
| Tyler Kleven | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.74 |
| Claude Giroux | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Michael Amadio | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.70 |
| Cameron Crotty | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Warren Foegele | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Nick Cousins | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 19.8 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0.52 | +0.57 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 18.8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.93 |
| Dylan Larkin | 20.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.74 | +0.32 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 17.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.43 |
| Justin Faulk | 18.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | +1.35 |
| Carter Mazur | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.05 |
| Nate Danielson | 8.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.33 |
| William Wallinder | 9.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.75 |
| Andrew Copp | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.39 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | +0.11 |
| Moritz Seider | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | +0.19 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.07 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.07 |
| Albert Johansson | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | +0.02 |
| Ben Chiarot | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.34 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.15 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Anton Johansson | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 35 | 3 | 2.64 | -0.36 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | 44 | 4 | 3.51 | -0.49 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.