Mon Oct 5 · 2026-27
SJS0FINAL
5DAL
SJS 26%DESERVE TO WIN74% DAL
DESERVED
DAL earned it — a 74% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SJSDAL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SJS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 1.68 | 4.46 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.07 | 3.38 |
| Shot attempts | 34 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 13 | 26 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Toffoli | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | -0.15 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.04 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.01 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -1.00 |
| Michael Misa | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.71 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.57 |
| Mason Marchment | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -1.54 |
| Will Smith | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -1.48 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.20 |
| Collin Graf | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.09 |
| Darnell Nurse | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | -1.55 |
| Igor Chernyshov | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.81 |
| Michael Kesselring | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.27 |
| Sam Dickinson | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.70 |
| Luca Cagnoni | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
| Jacob Trouba | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 17.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.76 | +0.98 |
| Roope Hintz | 15.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.48 | +0.90 |
| Jamie Benn | 14.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.37 | +0.60 |
| Sam Steel | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.30 | +1.02 |
| Oskar Bäck | 11.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.14 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +1.24 |
| Radek Faksa | 12.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.04 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 10.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.26 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +1.69 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.72 | +1.12 |
| Tyler Seguin | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.21 |
| Arttu Hyry | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.25 |
| Thomas Harley | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | +0.74 |
| Esa Lindell | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +1.34 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.17 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.42 |
| Lian Bichsel | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Tyler Myers | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 20 | 0 | 1.68 | +1.68 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 43 | 5 | 4.46 | -0.54 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.