Mon Oct 5 · 2026-27
WPG3FINAL
2PIT
WPG 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% PIT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WPG had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
WPGPIT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.86 | 3.54 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.70 | 3.22 |
| Shot attempts | 58 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 32 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iafallo | 10.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.51 |
| Cole Perfetti | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | -0.79 |
| Adam Lowry | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.06 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.74 |
| Josh Morrissey | 23.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.58 | +0.11 |
| Mark Scheifele | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | -0.60 |
| Neal Pionk | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | -1.12 |
| Kyle Connor | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | -0.73 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | +0.17 |
| Cole Koepke | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.04 |
| Viggo Björck | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.09 |
| Isak Rosen | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.51 |
| Brad Lambert | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.48 |
| Dylan Samberg | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.73 |
| Mario Ferraro | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| Morgan Barron | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.33 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel | 18.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.79 | +0.21 |
| Declan Carlile | 18.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.42 |
| Erik Karlsson | 24.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.24 |
| Ville Koivunen | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.10 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | -0.56 |
| Sidney Crosby | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.39 | +0.32 |
| Connor Dewar | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | +0.52 |
| Rickard Rakell | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.27 |
| Blake Lizotte | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.94 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.18 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.28 |
| Nick Robertson | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
| Tommy Novak | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.46 |
| Samuel Girard | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.02 |
| Kris Letang | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.34 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.17 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | 48 | 2 | 3.54 | +1.54 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | 46 | 3 | 2.86 | -0.14 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.