Mon Oct 5 · 2026-27
OTT4FINAL
1BOS
OTT 51%DESERVE TO WIN49% BOS
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — OTT had a 51% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
OTTBOS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.67 | 2.32 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.02 | 1.92 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 43 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 19 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | 18.9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.16 |
| Michael Amadio | 15.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.04 |
| Drake Batherson | 15.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +0.06 |
| Shane Pinto | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.24 |
| Nick Cousins | 11.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| William Eklund | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | +0.36 |
| Dylan Cozens | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | +0.14 |
| Claude Giroux | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.22 |
| Warren Foegele | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.03 |
| Thomas Chabot | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.22 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.13 |
| Hayden Hodgson | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.11 |
| Jordan Spence | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.18 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | +0.46 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Tyler Kleven | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
| Cameron Crotty | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Stephen Halliday | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Hagens | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.01 |
| Morgan Geekie | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | -0.12 |
| Elias Lindholm | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.04 |
| Pavel Zacha | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.25 |
| David Pastrnak | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.33 |
| Matthew Poitras | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| Mason Lohrei | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.42 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.17 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.43 |
| Fraser Minten | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.26 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.05 |
| Frederic Brunet | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.42 |
| Mark Kastelic | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| Connor Clifton | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
| Will Borgen | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.43 |
| JJ Peterka | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 18 | 0 | 1.38 | +1.38 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 37 | 4 | 2.67 | -1.33 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | 15 | 1 | 0.94 | -0.06 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.