Sun Oct 4 · 2026-27
CGY1FINAL
6SEA
CGY 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% SEA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
CGYSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CGY | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 3.24 | 2.71 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.88 | 2.71 |
| Shot attempts | 83 | 53 |
| Shots on goal | 33 | 27 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.41 | +0.82 |
| Morgan Frost | 18.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.19 |
| Matvei Gridin | 14.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.02 |
| Mikael Backlund | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.73 | +0.27 |
| Adam Klapka | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.53 | +0.48 |
| Matt Coronato | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.27 | +0.05 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Zayne Parekh | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.56 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.19 |
| Martin Pospisil | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.19 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.38 |
| Ryan Strome | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.35 |
| Kevin Bahl | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.06 |
| Simon Nemec | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| Jake Middleton | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.62 |
| Connor Zary | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
| Samuel Honzek | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkly Catton | 12.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.39 | +0.26 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 18.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.20 |
| Brandon Montour | 23.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.71 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 16.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Bobby McMann | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.38 | -0.01 |
| Shane Wright | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.18 |
| Jordan Eberle | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.32 |
| Ryker Evans | 22.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.80 |
| Jared McCann | 15.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.20 |
| Vince Dunn | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.73 |
| Matty Beniers | 16.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.39 |
| Ryan Winterton | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | -0.33 |
| Curtis Douglas | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.69 |
| Ryan Lindgren | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.29 |
| Adam Larsson | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.26 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 56 | 1 | 3.24 | +2.24 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 45 | 6 | 2.71 | -3.29 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.