ON-ICE IQ · FLA 2 @ ANA 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sun Oct 4 · 2026-27

FLA2

FINAL OT

3ANA

FLA 59%DESERVE TO WIN41% ANA

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 41% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

FLAANA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	FLA	ANA
Goals	2	3
xG (all)	3.90	2.50
xG (5v5)	2.13	1.14
Shot attempts	72	43
Shots on goal	31	21

FLA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Carter Verhaeghe	19.3	1	0	3	0.64	+0.22
Sam Bennett	21.9	0	1	4	0.49	+0.28
Brad Marchand	13.2	1	0	3	0.48	+0.22
Matthew Tkachuk	23.5	0	1	1	0.20	+0.25
Lars Eller	11.5	0	1	2	0.04	+0.23
Brady Tkachuk	16.0	0	0	4	0.54	+0.53
Sandis Vilmanis	13.6	0	0	4	0.46	+0.42
Sam Reinhart	22.3	0	0	3	0.44	+0.19
Seth Jones	28.6	0	0	4	0.32	+0.09
Garnet Hathaway	9.5	0	0	1	0.14	+0.23
Niko Mikkola	20.3	0	0	1	0.04	+0.46
Radko Gudas	15.8	0	0	0	0.03	+0.92
Dmitry Kulikov	17.8	0	0	0	0.03	+0.02
Anton Lundell	17.6	0	0	1	0.03	+0.33
Gustav Forsling	20.4	0	0	0	0.02	-0.34
Eetu Luostarinen	16.2	0	0	0	0.00	+0.01
Uvis Balinskis	14.6	0	0	0	0.00	+0.78
Bokondji Imama	7.8	0	0	0	0.00	+0.12

ANA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Cutter Gauthier	20.8	2	1	4	0.40	-0.48
Leo Carlsson	20.4	0	3	1	0.05	-0.58
Beckett Sennecke	21.7	0	1	3	0.75	-0.35
Mikael Granlund	22.5	1	0	2	0.52	+0.02
Jackson LaCombe	28.7	0	1	0	0.05	-0.61
A.J. Greer	15.0	0	0	2	0.26	-0.86
Tyson Hinds	14.7	0	0	4	0.17	+0.03
Ryan Poehling	14.9	0	0	1	0.12	+0.28
Tristan Luneau	26.6	0	0	1	0.11	-0.69
Sam Colangelo	10.4	0	0	0	0.03	+0.25
Tim Washe	16.4	0	0	0	0.02	-0.71
Jeff Malott	7.9	0	0	1	0.01	-0.06
Noah Warren	15.9	0	0	2	0.00	+0.03
Pavel Mintyukov	19.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.41
Alex Killorn	16.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.35
Travis Mitchell	14.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.33
Nikita Nesterenko	10.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.28
Judd Caulfield	9.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.41

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jacob Markstrom	FLA	31	3	2.50	-0.50
Lukas Dostal	ANA	51	2	3.90	+1.90

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.