ON-ICE IQ · UTA 2 @ NYR 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sun Oct 4 · 2026-27

UTA2

FINAL

4NYR

UTA 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% NYR

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NYR had a 47% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

UTANYR cumulative xG · dots = goals

	UTA	NYR
Goals	2	4
xG (all)	3.73	3.14
xG (5v5)	2.92	2.45
Shot attempts	68	55
Shots on goal	30	22

UTA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Nick Schmaltz	17.3	1	0	3	0.45	+0.26
Clayton Keller	18.1	0	1	2	0.39	+0.36
Andrew Peeke	14.1	1	0	3	0.30	-0.02
Anders Lee	13.0	0	1	1	0.24	-0.06
Lawson Crouse	15.3	0	0	5	0.54	+0.68
Jack McBain	11.2	0	0	2	0.36	+0.50
Dylan Guenther	15.8	0	0	2	0.21	+0.05
Michael Carcone	12.7	0	0	2	0.20	-0.45
Vincent Trocheck	18.0	0	0	2	0.19	+0.28
Daniil But	10.4	0	0	0	0.19	-0.55
Logan Cooley	18.5	0	0	0	0.17	+0.13
Barrett Hayton	13.3	0	0	1	0.17	+0.75
Mikhail Sergachev	23.9	0	0	3	0.12	+0.50
Nate Schmidt	22.6	0	0	3	0.10	+0.09
John Marino	21.1	0	0	1	0.06	+0.03
MacKenzie Weegar	22.0	0	0	0	0.05	+0.42
Kevin Stenlund	13.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.62
Dmitri Simashev	12.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.03

NYR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Vladislav Gavrikov	19.1	1	1	3	0.07	+0.43
Alexis Lafrenière	21.7	0	1	4	0.64	-0.03
Gabe Perreault	18.3	1	0	1	0.46	+0.11
Will Cuylle	14.1	0	1	2	0.35	-0.84
Eeli Tolvanen	14.2	1	0	2	0.33	-0.66
Tye Kartye	15.3	0	1	2	0.29	+0.34
J.T. Miller	20.4	1	0	1	0.15	+0.49
Mika Zibanejad	24.5	0	1	0	0.05	-0.00
Adam Fox	21.6	0	1	1	0.02	+0.82
Pavel Dorofeyev	17.9	0	0	3	0.54	+0.58
Jaroslav Chmelar	6.1	0	0	0	0.16	-0.08
Noah Laba	17.6	0	0	1	0.14	-1.13
Sean Durzi	22.9	0	0	0	0.08	-1.33
Alberts Smits	16.2	0	0	1	0.06	+0.17
Braden Schneider	17.7	0	0	0	0.03	+0.01
Joseph Veleno	2.2	0	0	1	0.01	+0.00
Marcus Pettersson	17.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.97
Oliver Bjorkstrand	7.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.22

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Igor Shesterkin	NYR	43	2	3.73	+1.73
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	34	3	3.14	+0.14

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.