Sun Oct 4 · 2026-27
WPG3FINAL
2DET
WPG 37%DESERVE TO WIN63% DET
STOLE IT
WPG stole it — only a 37% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
WPGDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.94 | 4.53 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.64 | 2.68 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 77 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 35 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Perfetti | 17.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.00 | -0.24 |
| Kyle Connor | 20.1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0.78 | -0.19 |
| Josh Morrissey | 21.6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0.25 | +0.34 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | -0.61 |
| Mark Scheifele | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.34 |
| Brad Lambert | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| Alex Iafallo | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.02 |
| Morgan Barron | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.53 |
| Neal Pionk | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.82 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.05 |
| Viggo Björck | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.50 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.60 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.25 |
| Mario Ferraro | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
| Dylan Samberg | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Adam Lowry | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Isak Rosen | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1.15 | +1.25 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 21.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.66 | +0.20 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | +1.25 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 23.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 | +0.42 |
| Moritz Seider | 25.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.29 | -0.25 |
| Andrew Copp | 23.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.23 |
| Lucas Raymond | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | -0.30 |
| Justin Faulk | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.18 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | +0.36 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | +1.04 |
| Nate Danielson | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.06 |
| J.T. Compher | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.13 |
| Ben Chiarot | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +1.22 |
| Albert Johansson | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.44 |
| Anton Johansson | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Mason Appleton | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Andreas Englund | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.21 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 40 | 3 | 2.94 | -0.06 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 58 | 2 | 4.53 | +2.53 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.