Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
LAK4FINAL OT
5SJS
LAK 65%DESERVE TO WIN35% SJS
STOLE IT
SJS stole it — only a 35% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
LAKSJS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| LAK | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 4.07 | 2.01 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.94 | 1.39 |
| Shot attempts | 69 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 35 | 25 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 22.0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1.17 | +0.88 |
| Artemi Panarin | 22.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.67 | +0.94 |
| Quinton Byfield | 22.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.54 | +1.22 |
| Brandt Clarke | 20.7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.08 | +0.95 |
| Erik Haula | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.01 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.00 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.60 |
| Alex Laferriere | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | +0.31 |
| Scott Laughton | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.50 |
| Alex Turcotte | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.19 |
| Corey Perry | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.70 |
| Trevor Moore | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.16 |
| Joel Armia | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.26 |
| Cody Ceci | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.39 |
| Mikey Anderson | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.39 |
| Joel Edmundson | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.23 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.60 |
| Drew Doughty | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.55 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Chernyshov | 16.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.76 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.77 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 20.6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.00 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 11.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.16 |
| Nolan Allan | 16.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.42 |
| Jacob Trouba | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.51 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 15.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Michael Misa | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | -0.21 |
| Will Smith | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.35 |
| Mason Marchment | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.29 |
| Collin Graf | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.27 |
| Luca Cagnoni | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | -0.79 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.28 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.90 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.41 |
| Darnell Nurse | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Michael Kesselring | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | 35 | 5 | 2.01 | -2.99 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 58 | 4 | 4.07 | +0.07 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.