Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
CGY1FINAL
4VAN
CGY 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% VAN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — VAN had a 59% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
CGYVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CGY | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 1.90 | 2.65 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.60 | 1.82 |
| Shot attempts | 63 | 63 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 26 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zayne Parekh | 17.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.32 | -0.25 |
| Matt Coronato | 16.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.14 |
| Joel Farabee | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.01 |
| Morgan Frost | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.11 |
| Ryan Strome | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.10 |
| Matvei Gridin | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | +0.17 |
| Mikael Backlund | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | -0.18 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.37 |
| Samuel Honzek | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Martin Pospisil | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.05 |
| Brennan Othmann | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.29 |
| Adam Klapka | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.11 |
| Joel Hanley | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.59 |
| Jake Middleton | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| Simon Nemec | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| Kevin Bahl | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Ohgren | 17.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.51 | +0.38 |
| Linus Karlsson | 18.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.05 |
| Tom Willander | 20.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.27 |
| Aatu Räty | 9.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Drew O'Connor | 17.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.26 |
| Elias Pettersson | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.04 |
| Paul Cotter | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.39 |
| Elias Pettersson | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.54 |
| Max Sasson | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | -0.04 |
| Brock Boeser | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | +0.18 |
| Marco Rossi | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.08 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.06 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Filip Hronek | 28.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.05 |
| Luke Schenn | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| Zeev Buium | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | CGY | 38 | 3 | 2.65 | -0.35 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 41 | 1 | 1.90 | +0.90 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.