Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
BOS1FINAL
4MIN
BOS 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% MIN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MIN had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSMIN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.51 | 2.49 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.69 | 1.41 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 53 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 30 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Jeannot | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.21 |
| Mark Kastelic | 11.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.15 |
| Connor Clifton | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.21 |
| David Pastrnak | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.49 | +0.35 |
| James Hagens | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.23 |
| JJ Peterka | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.43 |
| Fraser Minten | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.24 |
| Morgan Geekie | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| Elias Lindholm | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.09 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.39 |
| Mason Lohrei | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.14 |
| Sean Kuraly | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| Pavel Zacha | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.40 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.12 |
| Jonathan Aspirot | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.09 |
| Will Borgen | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 18.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.98 | -0.21 |
| Quinn Hughes | 22.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.28 | -0.24 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.27 |
| Michael McCarron | 17.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.20 | +0.14 |
| Max Shabanov | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.14 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| Bobby Brink | 11.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Ryan Hartman | 11.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Matt Boldy | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.95 | -0.22 |
| Yakov Trenin | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | -0.29 |
| Blake Coleman | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.08 |
| Olli Maatta | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.26 |
| Marcus Foligno | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.03 |
| Daemon Hunt | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.51 |
| Danila Yurov | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.20 |
| Nick Foligno | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Jonas Brodin | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.63 |
| Zach Bogosian | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | BOS | 35 | 3 | 2.49 | -0.51 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 39 | 1 | 2.51 | +1.51 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.