ON-ICE IQ · DAL 1 @ NSH 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27

DAL1

FINAL

2NSH

DAL 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% NSH

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NSH had a 50% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

DALNSH cumulative xG · dots = goals

	DAL	NSH
Goals	1	2
xG (all)	2.40	2.21
xG (5v5)	1.84	1.92
Shot attempts	65	52
Shots on goal	30	26

DAL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Wyatt Johnston	22.8	0	1	2	0.36	-0.08
Miro Heiskanen	24.6	1	0	5	0.30	+0.16
Mikko Rantanen	23.9	0	1	3	0.27	-0.06
Roope Hintz	16.1	0	0	2	0.53	-0.08
Tyler Seguin	12.6	0	0	3	0.29	-0.34
Thomas Harley	25.9	0	0	2	0.13	+0.43
Jamie Benn	13.2	0	0	2	0.12	+0.23
Arttu Hyry	12.5	0	0	1	0.10	+0.03
Justin Hryckowian	14.5	0	0	1	0.09	-0.33
Tyler Myers	14.4	0	0	1	0.06	-0.31
Nils Lundkvist	19.0	0	0	2	0.06	+0.04
Radek Faksa	10.5	0	0	1	0.05	+0.08
Oskar Bäck	9.6	0	0	2	0.03	-0.04
Sam Steel	16.1	0	0	2	0.02	+0.39
Jason Robertson	18.8	0	0	1	0.01	-0.05
Lian Bichsel	15.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.24
Esa Lindell	19.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.23
Colin Blackwell	7.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.04

NSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Steven Stamkos	20.0	1	0	4	0.58	+0.06
Nils Hoglander	11.6	1	0	2	0.15	+0.58
Ryan O'Reilly	19.9	0	1	1	0.09	+0.01
Roman Josi	24.6	0	1	0	0.05	-0.38
Jack Ahcan	5.8	0	1	0	0.02	+0.05
Alexander Kerfoot	16.4	0	1	1	0.00	+0.24
Matthew Wood	16.1	0	0	3	0.52	+0.47
Adam Edstrom	14.0	0	0	4	0.34	-0.27
Jonathan Marchessault	16.4	0	0	3	0.12	-0.25
Ross Colton	15.3	0	0	0	0.08	-0.43
Nick Perbix	18.6	0	0	1	0.07	+0.10
Mavrik Bourque	18.1	0	0	2	0.06	-0.13
Filip Forsberg	21.7	0	0	1	0.04	+0.22
Brady Skjei	18.1	0	0	2	0.04	+0.16
William Trudeau	12.2	0	0	1	0.04	+0.36
Adam Wilsby	14.6	0	0	1	0.00	+0.26
Nicolas Hague	21.0	0	0	0	0.00	-0.41
Jack Drury	13.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.27

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Juuse Saros	NSH	47	1	2.40	+1.40
Casey DeSmith	DAL	39	2	2.21	+0.21

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.