Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
NJD0FINAL
6NYI
NJD 47%DESERVE TO WIN53% NYI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NYI had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NJDNYI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NJD | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 3.68 | 3.85 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.91 | 2.48 |
| Shot attempts | 72 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 37 | 32 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.68 | +0.54 |
| Jack Hughes | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | +0.41 |
| Luke Evangelista | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.54 |
| Dawson Mercer | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.31 |
| Timo Meier | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.36 | +0.04 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.40 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.65 |
| Jesper Bratt | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.43 |
| Cody Glass | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.31 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.13 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.66 |
| Luke Hughes | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.20 |
| Stefan Noesen | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.80 |
| Brenden Dillon | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.28 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.77 |
| Brett Pesce | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.54 |
| Declan Chisholm | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.64 |
| Anthony Mantha | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cizikas | 14.1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.75 | +0.21 |
| Brayden Schenn | 14.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.68 | +0.34 |
| Victor Eklund | 12.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.39 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 20.6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.75 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 16.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.11 |
| Logan Stanley | 19.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.50 |
| Bo Horvat | 18.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | -0.81 |
| Ondrej Palat | 12.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | +0.28 |
| Calum Ritchie | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | +0.38 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| Adam Pelech | 19.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.65 |
| Emil Heineman | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | -0.81 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -1.01 |
| Matias Maccelli | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.24 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | -0.25 |
| Alexander Romanov | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.85 |
| Ryan Pulock | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
| Anthony Duclair | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 57 | 0 | 3.68 | +3.68 |
| Nico Daws | NJD | 42 | 6 | 3.85 | -2.15 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.