Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
SEA1FINAL
3EDM
SEA 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% EDM
DESERVED
EDM earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SEAEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 1.78 | 2.77 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.43 | 1.77 |
| Shot attempts | 38 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 25 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | +0.29 |
| Bobby McMann | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.37 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.38 |
| Jared McCann | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.50 |
| Berkly Catton | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.11 |
| Brandon Montour | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| Ryan Lindgren | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.01 |
| Ryan Winterton | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.01 |
| Ryker Evans | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| Vince Dunn | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.28 |
| Cale Fleury | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.12 |
| Matty Beniers | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.43 |
| Adam Larsson | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Shane Wright | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Ben Meyers | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 26.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.60 | +0.72 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 24.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1.05 | +0.88 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.84 |
| Alex Formenton | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.43 |
| Owen Michaels | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.15 |
| Ryan Shea | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.05 |
| Max Jones | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.34 |
| Evan Bouchard | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.86 |
| Josh Samanski | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.38 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.15 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.32 |
| Colton Dach | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.15 |
| Jake Walman | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| Ty Emberson | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.32 |
| Isaac Howard | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.39 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Connor Murphy | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.85 |
| Trent Frederic | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 41 | 2 | 2.77 | +0.77 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | 28 | 1 | 1.78 | +0.78 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.