ON-ICE IQ · MTL 5 @ PIT 6

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27

MTL5

FINAL OT

6PIT

MTL 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% PIT

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — PIT had a 52% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

MTLPIT cumulative xG · dots = goals

	MTL	PIT
Goals	5	6
xG (all)	2.82	2.84
xG (5v5)	1.92	1.63
Shot attempts	69	52
Shots on goal	25	30

MTL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Nick Suzuki	22.7	1	3	4	0.55	+0.57
Lane Hutson	29.1	0	3	3	0.15	+0.08
Chris Kreider	14.9	1	1	1	0.39	-0.42
Cole Caufield	22.8	2	0	3	0.32	-0.02
Ivan Demidov	16.1	1	1	3	0.22	+0.04
Noah Dobson	23.1	0	1	1	0.13	+0.34
Jake Evans	14.6	0	0	1	0.33	+0.41
Alex Newhook	15.7	0	0	2	0.22	+0.32
Josh Anderson	12.2	0	0	3	0.16	+0.47
Alexandre Texier	9.2	0	0	1	0.13	-0.34
Mike Matheson	26.4	0	0	2	0.09	+0.18
Phillip Danault	11.4	0	0	0	0.08	-0.24
Juraj Slafkovský	18.2	0	0	1	0.04	+0.48
Kirby Dach	11.7	0	0	0	0.01	-0.75
Jayden Struble	16.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.12
Arber Xhekaj	13.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.33
Zachary Bolduc	11.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.34
Alexandre Carrier	8.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.17

PIT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Tommy Novak	14.7	2	1	3	0.48	+0.03
Evgeni Malkin	19.7	1	2	1	0.19	-0.17
Erik Karlsson	19.6	0	2	0	0.09	+0.15
Kris Letang	19.5	0	2	3	0.08	-0.28
Ben Kindel	14.3	1	0	5	0.57	-0.26
Samuel Girard	21.2	1	0	3	0.46	-0.29
Sidney Crosby	19.9	0	1	2	0.22	+0.07
Rickard Rakell	18.4	0	1	2	0.18	+0.27
Egor Chinakhov	18.0	0	1	2	0.13	-0.13
Declan Carlile	20.5	1	0	3	0.11	+0.37
Kaedan Korczak	17.6	0	1	1	0.01	-0.27
Hendrix Lapierre	11.4	0	1	0	0.00	-0.47
Connor Dewar	13.9	0	0	1	0.29	-0.03
Nick Robertson	13.6	0	0	1	0.13	+0.11
Filip Hallander	9.7	0	0	0	0.09	+0.19
Andrei Kuzmenko	11.7	0	0	2	0.06	-0.40
Trevor van Riemsdyk	18.1	0	0	1	0.01	-0.26
Blake Lizotte	14.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.07

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Arturs Silovs	PIT	47	5	2.82	-2.18
Jakub Dobes	MTL	39	6	2.84	-3.16

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.