Sat Oct 3 · 2026-27
OTT3FINAL
2TOR
OTT 60%DESERVE TO WIN40% TOR
DESERVED
OTT earned it — a 60% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
OTTTOR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 4.80 | 3.22 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.19 | 2.12 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 69 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 29 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot | 27.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.91 |
| Claude Giroux | 18.3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.18 | +0.08 |
| Stephen Halliday | 10.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | +1.07 |
| Shane Pinto | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.50 | +0.42 |
| Michael Amadio | 19.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.50 | +0.36 |
| Tim Stützle | 22.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.03 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.71 |
| William Eklund | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.79 | +1.50 |
| Drake Batherson | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.80 |
| Dylan Cozens | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| Jordan Spence | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.93 |
| Hayden Hodgson | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.49 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.05 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.95 |
| Tyler Kleven | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Warren Foegele | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
| Nick Cousins | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.71 |
| Jake Sanderson | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 21.8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.98 | +0.30 |
| William Nylander | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.65 | -0.04 |
| John Tavares | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.51 |
| Kirill Marchenko | 19.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.35 |
| Morgan Rielly | 18.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -1.22 |
| Darren Raddysh | 22.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.29 |
| Colton Sissons | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | -0.06 |
| Nick Paul | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.39 |
| Gavin McKenna | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.45 |
| Jack Roslovic | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
| Teddy Blueger | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -1.25 |
| Easton Cowan | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.64 |
| Troy Stecher | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -1.59 |
| Bo Groulx | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -1.02 |
| Jake McCabe | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Chris Tanev | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.28 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.27 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | 44 | 3 | 4.80 | +1.80 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 48 | 2 | 3.22 | +1.22 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.