Fri Oct 2 · 2026-27
ANA4FINAL
3VGK
ANA 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% VGK
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANAVGK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.51 | 3.19 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.21 | 2.10 |
| Shot attempts | 47 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 30 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 17.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.62 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.63 | +0.62 |
| A.J. Greer | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.38 | +0.39 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 29.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.42 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 18.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.20 |
| Jeff Malott | 10.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.51 |
| Alex Killorn | 15.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.23 |
| Mikael Granlund | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| Tristan Luneau | 27.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.16 |
| Tim Washe | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Noah Warren | 9.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Ryan Poehling | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | -0.11 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.62 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.03 |
| Travis Mitchell | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
| Frank Vatrano | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Tyson Hinds | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 22.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.55 |
| Tomas Hertl | 17.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.97 | +0.36 |
| Braeden Bowman | 12.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | -0.04 |
| Brett Howden | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.12 |
| Shea Theodore | 24.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | -0.13 |
| Victor Olofsson | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.32 |
| Mitch Marner | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.16 |
| Brayden McNabb | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.13 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.08 |
| William Karlsson | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.12 |
| Nic Dowd | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.03 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.06 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | -0.24 |
| Trevor Connelly | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.10 |
| Noah Hanifin | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
| Parker Wotherspoon | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.14 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.22 |
| Mark Stone | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | VGK | 32 | 4 | 2.51 | -1.49 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 45 | 3 | 3.19 | +0.19 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.