Fri Oct 2 · 2026-27
STL4FINAL
0DAL
STL 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% DAL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — STL had a 41% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
STLDAL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| STL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 0 |
| xG (all) | 2.20 | 3.09 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 59 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 25 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 19.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.41 |
| Pius Suter | 14.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | -0.04 |
| Mason McTavish | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.62 | +0.45 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 13.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.48 |
| Connor McMichael | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.07 |
| Colton Parayko | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.36 |
| Philip Broberg | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.25 |
| Adam Jiricek | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.25 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.59 |
| Jake Neighbours | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.68 |
| Dylan Holloway | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.20 |
| Cam Fowler | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| Theo Lindstein | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Robert Thomas | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Brandon Carlo | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Ross Johnston | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seguin | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | -0.28 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | -0.10 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.35 | -0.24 |
| Jason Robertson | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.66 |
| Sam Steel | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | +0.61 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 26.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.34 |
| Arttu Hyry | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.55 |
| Roope Hintz | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.35 |
| Jamie Benn | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.57 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.22 |
| Radek Faksa | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.16 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.22 |
| Tyler Myers | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.27 |
| Esa Lindell | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.20 |
| Thomas Harley | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.16 |
| Lian Bichsel | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Oskar Bäck | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 28 | 2 | 2.20 | +0.20 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | 43 | 0 | 3.09 | +3.09 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.