Fri Oct 2 · 2026-27
BOS4FINAL OT
3WPG
BOS 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% WPG
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BOS had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSWPG
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.18 | 3.87 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.40 | 1.93 |
| Shot attempts | 74 | 70 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 33 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 23.9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.22 | +0.41 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 20.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.59 |
| JJ Peterka | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.54 | -0.36 |
| Elias Lindholm | 16.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.29 | +0.56 |
| James Hagens | 13.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | +0.59 |
| Morgan Geekie | 20.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | -0.33 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 22.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.11 |
| Mason Lohrei | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.06 |
| Mark Kastelic | 9.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.28 |
| Will Borgen | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Pavel Zacha | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.02 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.20 |
| Connor Clifton | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.40 |
| Jonathan Aspirot | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.04 |
| Fraser Minten | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.53 |
| Sean Kuraly | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.03 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.27 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.07 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 20.6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1.11 | +0.17 |
| Adam Lowry | 16.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.59 |
| Cole Perfetti | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.98 | +0.28 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.44 | -0.06 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.43 |
| Mario Ferraro | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -1.03 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 22.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
| Josh Morrissey | 27.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | +0.61 |
| Viggo Björck | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.20 |
| Mark Scheifele | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | +0.55 |
| Neal Pionk | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.01 |
| Isak Rosen | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.28 |
| Dylan Samberg | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.96 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
| Alex Iafallo | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Brad Lambert | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 53 | 4 | 3.18 | -0.82 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 55 | 3 | 3.87 | +0.87 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.