ON-ICE IQ · WSH 5 @ CAR 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Fri Oct 2 · 2026-27

WSH5

FINAL

2CAR

WSH 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% CAR

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 41% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

WSHCAR cumulative xG · dots = goals

	WSH	CAR
Goals	5	2
xG (all)	3.15	4.06
xG (5v5)	2.78	1.88
Shot attempts	43	81
Shots on goal	27	33

WSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Alex Tuch	16.6	2	0	3	0.59	+0.48
Dylan Strome	13.2	0	2	2	0.30	-0.40
Jakob Chychrun	18.9	1	1	3	0.08	+0.56
Pierre-Luc Dubois	12.1	0	2	1	0.07	+0.39
Ryan Leonard	12.1	1	0	3	0.40	-0.38
Cole Hutson	17.1	1	0	3	0.39	+0.35
Aliaksei Protas	17.6	0	1	2	0.37	+0.99
Alex Ovechkin	12.8	0	1	1	0.07	-0.60
Ilya Protas	11.5	0	1	0	0.01	+0.93
Tom Wilson	16.6	0	1	0	0.00	+0.43
Anthony Beauvillier	13.9	0	0	3	0.31	-0.10
Martin Fehérváry	19.5	0	0	1	0.22	-0.48
Jordan Kyrou	12.3	0	0	2	0.19	+0.81
Boone Jenner	16.3	0	0	3	0.14	+0.19
Matt Roy	22.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.26
Vincent Desharnais	21.2	0	0	0	0.00	+0.57
Timothy Liljegren	18.8	0	0	0	0.00	+0.54
Justin Sourdif	13.0	0	0	0	0.00	-0.01

CAR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Andrei Svechnikov	19.9	0	1	6	0.81	+0.38
Logan Stankoven	20.2	1	0	4	0.45	+0.06
Jackson Blake	19.4	0	1	3	0.39	-0.34
Sebastian Aho	18.6	1	0	2	0.33	-0.13
William Carrier	11.5	0	1	1	0.21	-0.03
K'Andre Miller	22.2	0	1	0	0.00	-0.92
Nikolaj Ehlers	19.0	0	0	4	0.65	+0.21
Jordan Staal	14.9	0	0	3	0.53	+0.45
Jordan Martinook	12.8	0	0	2	0.33	+0.60
Jaccob Slavin	18.5	0	0	4	0.22	+0.52
Charles Alexis Legault	11.1	0	0	1	0.05	-0.15
Jalen Chatfield	17.6	0	0	0	0.04	+0.12
Taylor Hall	13.6	0	0	1	0.04	-0.65
Sean Walker	19.1	0	0	2	0.03	-1.05
Shayne Gostisbehere	22.7	0	0	0	0.01	-0.32
Mark Jankowski	12.6	0	0	0	0.00	-1.28
Eric Robinson	11.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.70
Nicolas Deslauriers	9.4	0	0	0	0.00	-1.28

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	WSH	52	2	4.06	+2.06
Brandon Bussi	CAR	34	5	3.15	-1.85

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.