Fri Oct 2 · 2026-27
NYR2FINAL
0DET
NYR 55%DESERVE TO WIN45% DET
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NYR had a 55% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYRDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0 |
| xG (all) | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Shot attempts | 43 | 45 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 22 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.41 | -0.28 |
| Gabe Perreault | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.50 |
| Adam Fox | 22.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.11 |
| Tye Kartye | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| Will Cuylle | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| Sean Durzi | 19.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.17 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.53 | +0.42 |
| J.T. Miller | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.12 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.27 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.08 |
| Noah Laba | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.00 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.24 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.12 |
| Braden Schneider | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.15 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Joseph Veleno | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Alberts Smits | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.18 |
| Marco Kasper | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | +0.31 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.24 |
| J.T. Compher | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.07 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.46 |
| Anton Johansson | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.57 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.37 |
| Andrew Copp | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.50 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.33 |
| Nate Danielson | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.07 |
| Justin Faulk | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.32 |
| Lucas Raymond | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.50 |
| Moritz Seider | 25.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Albert Johansson | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.10 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.09 |
| Ben Chiarot | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.29 |
| Mason Appleton | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.31 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.48 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 29 | 1 | 2.23 | +1.23 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 29 | 0 | 1.56 | +1.56 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.