Thu Oct 1 · 2026-27
EDM9FINAL
7VAN
EDM 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% VAN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
EDMVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 9 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 3.54 | 2.96 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.96 | 2.46 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 32 | 22 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 22.1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.59 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 20.3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0.61 | +0.56 |
| Evan Bouchard | 24.4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0.30 | +0.53 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 18.1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.48 | +0.49 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 18.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.86 |
| Trent Frederic | 10.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.29 |
| Isaac Howard | 11.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.14 |
| Ryan Shea | 23.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.05 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.48 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.41 |
| Colton Dach | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.75 |
| Alex Formenton | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| Max Jones | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.80 |
| Connor Murphy | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Jake Walman | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.76 |
| Josh Samanski | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rossi | 15.3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.66 | +0.25 |
| Elias Pettersson | 17.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.60 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 11.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.23 |
| Brock Boeser | 18.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.03 |
| Paul Cotter | 16.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 21.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.23 |
| Filip Hronek | 23.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.12 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.50 |
| Liam Ohgren | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.03 |
| Luke Schenn | 14.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.56 |
| Tom Willander | 21.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | -0.04 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.60 | +0.34 |
| Zeev Buium | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | -0.46 |
| Drew O'Connor | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.11 |
| Elias Pettersson | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.52 |
| Linus Karlsson | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Max Sasson | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 29 | 8 | 2.44 | -5.56 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | 32 | 7 | 2.96 | -4.04 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 15 | 1 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.