Thu Oct 1 · 2026-27
SEA6FINAL
1CGY
SEA 60%DESERVE TO WIN40% CGY
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 60% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
SEACGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 4.00 | 2.53 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.78 | 2.24 |
| Shot attempts | 59 | 64 |
| Shots on goal | 32 | 25 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCann | 17.9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.44 | +0.18 |
| Vince Dunn | 20.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.38 |
| Matty Beniers | 17.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 16.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| Jordan Eberle | 17.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1.02 | +0.60 |
| Ryan Winterton | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.12 |
| Shane Wright | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.19 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.54 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.57 |
| Ryker Evans | 20.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.68 |
| Bobby McMann | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.45 |
| Jacob Melanson | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | -0.10 |
| Brandon Montour | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | +0.84 |
| Berkly Catton | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.41 |
| Josh Mahura | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.55 |
| Ryan Lindgren | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.27 |
| Adam Larsson | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| Curtis Douglas | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Zary | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | +0.05 |
| Ryan Strome | 16.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | -0.18 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Simon Nemec | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | -0.15 |
| Mikael Backlund | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | +0.00 |
| Matvei Gridin | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.19 |
| Samuel Honzek | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.32 |
| Jake Middleton | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.10 |
| Joel Farabee | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.16 |
| Matt Coronato | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.25 |
| Zayne Parekh | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.04 |
| Martin Pospisil | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.29 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.56 |
| Morgan Frost | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.08 |
| Kevin Bahl | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.02 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.46 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
| Adam Klapka | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 42 | 1 | 2.53 | +1.53 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 46 | 6 | 4.00 | -2.00 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.