Thu Oct 1 · 2026-27
CHI0FINAL
6UTA
CHI 27%DESERVE TO WIN73% UTA
DESERVED
UTA earned it — a 73% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CHIUTA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CHI | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 1.50 | 4.04 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.25 | 3.50 |
| Shot attempts | 42 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 15 | 32 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Frondell | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | -0.52 |
| Patrick Kane | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -1.12 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.30 |
| Oliver Moore | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.89 |
| Frank Nazar | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.40 |
| Roman Kantserov | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.35 |
| Sam Rinzel | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.48 |
| Cole Smith | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| Alex Vlasic | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -1.49 |
| Jordan Greenway | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.06 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -1.04 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.31 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.44 |
| Bowen Byram | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -1.61 |
| Ryan Greene | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Ian Cole | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.79 |
| Nick Lardis | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Keller | 17.7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.77 |
| Dylan Guenther | 14.6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.53 | +0.55 |
| Michael Carcone | 12.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.28 |
| Anders Lee | 12.1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | +0.45 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 18.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.60 |
| Daniil But | 12.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.21 |
| Lawson Crouse | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.75 |
| Logan Cooley | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.55 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 22.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.83 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 17.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.62 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.82 |
| Nate Schmidt | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.80 |
| Andrew Peeke | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.34 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 13.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.38 |
| Barrett Hayton | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.84 |
| Jack McBain | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.74 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +1.20 |
| John Marino | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.52 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 31 | 0 | 1.50 | +1.50 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | 54 | 6 | 4.04 | -1.96 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.