Wed Sep 30 · 2026-27
NYI1FINAL
2TOR
NYI 47%DESERVE TO WIN53% TOR
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — TOR had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYITOR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.60 | 2.75 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.64 | 1.59 |
| Shot attempts | 68 | 48 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 26 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Heineman | 13.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | -0.04 |
| Bo Horvat | 22.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.23 | -0.21 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | -0.08 |
| Victor Eklund | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | -0.02 |
| Anthony Duclair | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | +0.27 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -0.01 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 27.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.22 |
| Ryan Pulock | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Alexander Romanov | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.09 |
| Calum Ritchie | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.25 |
| Brayden Schenn | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.06 |
| Ondrej Palat | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.23 |
| Matias Maccelli | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Adam Pelech | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.37 |
| Logan Stanley | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.33 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Casey Cizikas | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.36 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Cowan | 13.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.26 |
| Jack Roslovic | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.46 | +0.45 |
| Colton Sissons | 11.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | +0.29 |
| Nick Paul | 15.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.31 |
| Morgan Rielly | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.07 |
| Auston Matthews | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.35 | +0.43 |
| Kirill Marchenko | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.32 |
| Darren Raddysh | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | -0.15 |
| William Nylander | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.76 |
| John Tavares | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.68 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.44 |
| Teddy Blueger | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.00 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.28 |
| Gavin McKenna | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.56 |
| Bo Groulx | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.06 |
| Jake McCabe | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.16 |
| Chris Tanev | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.48 |
| Troy Stecher | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.31 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | 46 | 1 | 2.60 | +1.60 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 36 | 2 | 2.75 | +0.75 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.