Wed Sep 30 · 2026-27
LAK4FINAL
8COL
LAK 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% COL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — COL had a 56% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
LAKCOL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| LAK | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 8 |
| xG (all) | 2.87 | 3.36 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.78 | 2.36 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 29 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere | 15.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.01 |
| Artemi Panarin | 20.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.29 |
| Joel Armia | 12.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.34 |
| Trevor Moore | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.61 |
| Erik Haula | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | -0.82 |
| Alex Turcotte | 15.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.03 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 16.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -1.01 |
| Mikey Anderson | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.17 |
| Drew Doughty | 22.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -1.08 |
| Cody Ceci | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.07 |
| Adrian Kempe | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | -0.43 |
| Andre Lee | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | +0.46 |
| Quinton Byfield | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.20 |
| Scott Laughton | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | -0.59 |
| Samuel Helenius | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.23 |
| Joel Edmundson | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.28 |
| Brandt Clarke | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.50 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Nelson | 19.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.04 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 17.7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.73 | +0.14 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 19.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.54 | +0.36 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 12.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.32 | +0.29 |
| Cale Makar | 18.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.27 |
| Nazem Kadri | 17.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.17 |
| Parker Kelly | 12.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.57 |
| Devon Toews | 20.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Nicolas Roy | 12.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | +0.75 |
| Martin Necas | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.27 | +0.29 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 17.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.00 |
| Brent Burns | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.18 |
| Josh Manson | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.06 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.29 |
| Sam Malinski | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.67 |
| T.J. Hughes | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.67 |
| Brett Kulak | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.53 |
| Noah Juulsen | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 35 | 8 | 3.36 | -4.64 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 45 | 4 | 2.87 | -1.13 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.