Wed Sep 30 · 2026-27
PIT7FINAL
0PHI
PIT 72%DESERVE TO WIN28% PHI
DESERVED
PIT earned it — a 72% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PITPHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PIT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 0 |
| xG (all) | 4.83 | 1.79 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.62 | 0.87 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 38 | 19 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Hallander | 10.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.83 | +1.37 |
| Nick Robertson | 15.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | +0.76 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 18.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | +0.96 |
| Samuel Girard | 21.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.25 | +1.00 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 13.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | +1.75 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | +0.11 |
| Sidney Crosby | 17.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.44 | +0.71 |
| Rickard Rakell | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.44 | +0.75 |
| Kris Letang | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.26 | +1.05 |
| Ville Koivunen | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +1.57 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.44 |
| Declan Carlile | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.80 |
| Erik Karlsson | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.82 |
| Tommy Novak | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Blake Lizotte | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.38 | +0.28 |
| Connor Dewar | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.28 |
| Elmer Soderblom | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.15 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.90 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Dvorak | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.16 |
| Noel Acciari | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.18 |
| Owen Tippett | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | -0.95 |
| Travis Konecny | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.46 |
| Matvei Michkov | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.24 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -1.47 |
| Tyson Foerster | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.27 |
| Trevor Zegras | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -1.35 |
| Alex Bump | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.01 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -1.50 |
| Travis Sanheim | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | -1.88 |
| Cam York | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.41 |
| Noah Cates | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Nick Seeler | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Simon Benoit | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Sean Couturier | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.09 |
| Porter Martone | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.75 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | PHI | 53 | 7 | 4.83 | -2.17 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 34 | 0 | 1.79 | +1.79 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.