Tue Sep 29 · 2026-27
CHI2FINAL
5VGK
CHI 38%DESERVE TO WIN62% VGK
DESERVED
VGK earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CHIVGK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CHI | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 2.24 | 3.46 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.82 | 2.55 |
| Shot attempts | 48 | 63 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 37 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Greenway | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | +0.06 |
| Patrick Kane | 21.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | -0.10 |
| Ryan Greene | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 20.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Frank Nazar | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.20 |
| Oliver Moore | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.16 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.68 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.07 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | +0.25 |
| Bowen Byram | 25.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.06 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.23 |
| Sam Rinzel | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.00 |
| Anton Frondell | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.60 |
| Roman Kantserov | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.22 |
| Nick Lardis | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.81 |
| Cole Smith | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Alex Vlasic | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
| Ian Cole | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 18.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.14 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 14.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.02 |
| Brayden McNabb | 18.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.50 |
| Shea Theodore | 21.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.49 |
| Trevor Connelly | 11.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.58 |
| Mark Stone | 17.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.23 |
| Noah Hanifin | 18.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | +0.61 |
| Victor Olofsson | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.58 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 10.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.48 |
| Nic Dowd | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Tomas Hertl | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.75 | +0.65 |
| Mitch Marner | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | +0.40 |
| Braeden Bowman | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | -0.61 |
| Brett Howden | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.74 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | +0.54 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| Parker Wotherspoon | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.31 |
| William Karlsson | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.40 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | VGK | 39 | 2 | 2.24 | +0.24 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 50 | 4 | 3.46 | -0.54 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.