Tue Sep 29 · 2026-27
VAN6FINAL OT
5EDM
VAN 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% EDM
STOLE IT
VAN stole it — only a 35% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 1.99 | 3.61 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.12 | 2.44 |
| Shot attempts | 44 | 72 |
| Shots on goal | 23 | 37 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Cotter | 11.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | -0.36 |
| Max Sasson | 16.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.20 |
| Filip Hronek | 25.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.18 |
| Drew O'Connor | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.25 | -0.36 |
| Linus Karlsson | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.30 |
| Marco Rossi | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.08 |
| Brock Boeser | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.07 |
| Elias Pettersson | 19.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.93 |
| Liam Ohgren | 17.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.07 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 12.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.60 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 23.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.32 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 15.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Zeev Buium | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| Elias Pettersson | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.02 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.34 |
| Luke Schenn | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.02 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| Tom Willander | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -1.50 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard | 25.7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.27 | +0.87 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 18.3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1.00 | +1.00 |
| Connor McDavid | 22.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.31 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 21.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.83 | +1.04 |
| Alex Formenton | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.52 |
| Ryan Shea | 22.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | +1.05 |
| Zach Hyman | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.45 |
| Max Jones | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.03 |
| Colton Dach | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.01 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.89 |
| Trent Frederic | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.04 |
| Owen Michaels | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| Connor Murphy | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.12 |
| Isaac Howard | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.06 |
| Jake Walman | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.30 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 30 | 6 | 1.99 | -4.01 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 48 | 5 | 3.61 | -1.39 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.