2026-27 rest-of-season outlook · 879 skaters · Marcel-style baseline, goals regressed to xG
Rest-of-season projection: a recency-weighted 3-year blend, regressed
to the positional mean and to expected goals, with an age curve.
BUY/SELL compares the projection to
the player's 2026-27 (to date) actual. Cards link to 2026-27 (to date).
Value in Categories mode is the sum of the selected categories' z-scores
(how many standard deviations above positional-neutral, per game) — the standard
way to value across roto categories. Points mode ranks by your custom point
weights. xGΔ = goals above/below expected: a HOT
finisher is a regression / sell-high risk, a COLD one
is a likely buy-low. +/- is a 5v5 approximation. Tap any player for their full card.